Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ICP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-08-24 4.039383 4.327228 4.635363 4.991477 5.393883 5.837124 6.365916
2025-08-31 3.619344 4.024323 4.485611 5.056836 5.755248 6.595315 7.704862
2025-09-07 3.339201 3.800028 4.346077 5.053982 5.968313 7.141589 8.820062
2025-09-14 3.055993 3.531406 4.109816 4.883694 5.922973 7.321913 9.451440
2025-09-21 2.854800 3.341001 3.945744 4.776935 5.931957 7.555384 10.175697
2025-09-28 2.705314 3.201427 3.830664 4.716743 5.987376 7.848019 11.030000
2025-10-05 2.610627 3.123551 3.786916 4.744346 6.162877 8.333140 12.291890
2025-10-12 2.545309 3.078185 3.780665 4.819795 6.411601 8.961988 13.957286
2025-10-19 2.486167 3.036195 3.774160 4.891198 6.657838 9.620232 15.866965
2025-10-26 2.420073 2.980203 3.743164 4.921431 6.838565 10.190259 17.778190
2025-11-02 2.343275 2.905028 3.679607 4.895638 6.921614 10.592352 19.448680
2025-11-09 2.236021 2.782537 3.541332 4.743803 6.774774 10.532748 19.958291
2025-11-16 2.150122 2.690406 3.448176 4.665760 6.764687 10.774518 21.464435
2025-11-23 2.106382 2.656506 3.439388 4.722921 7.003459 11.577240 25.024843
2025-11-30 2.050706 2.602447 3.396777 4.720398 7.131273 12.169399 28.348244
2025-12-07 1.961346 2.495883 3.269397 4.567694 6.959077 12.051958 29.115761
2025-12-14 1.892015 2.415981 3.179109 4.471784 6.887171 12.159084 30.858198
2025-12-21 1.837431 2.355601 3.115927 4.417649 6.891144 12.450537 33.620628
2025-12-28 1.804888 2.326394 3.099431 4.442480 7.055072 13.178502 39.152297
2026-01-04 1.783967 2.313467 3.107453 4.510305 7.314911 14.228268 47.997164
2026-01-11 1.763263 2.299878 3.113440 4.574430 7.574909 15.360283 59.939758
2026-01-18 1.735872 2.275005 3.099891 4.601564 7.757219 16.323759 73.652065
2026-01-25 1.699775 2.235527 3.060781 4.578416 7.823196 16.944777 86.668050